Posted on March 30 2012 – 4:36 PM – Posted by: Doug Brady
In the recently released nationwide ABC News/Washington Post poll a mere 34 percent of Americans say they have a favorable opinion of Mr. Romney– a record low for any leading presidential candidate in a primary season in an ABC News/Washington Post survey data since 1984.
Meanwhile half of voters (50%) say they have an unfavorable impression of the former governor.
In most elections that I have been involved with, it certainly is the case that candidates whose negative ratings are over 50% tend to lose.
Put bluntly, it is very difficult, if not impossible, for a presidential candidate to win an election with an overall negative rating of 50% when facing an incumbent whose favorability is above fifty percent. And President Obama’s favorability rating in the Washington Post/ABC News Poll is almost as high as President Bill Clinton’s 56 percent favorability in June 1996.
Moreover, new state data out from Quinnipiac shows President Obama leading former Governor Romney by 7 points in Florida, 6 points in Ohio, and 3 points in Pennsylvania– all suggesting that key swing states have moved in the direction of the incumbent president.